207 matches modelled
Football probabilities,
not predictions in disguise.
Every match below shows the model's outcome distribution and expected goals. Where market odds are available, we flag matches with measurable value. We don't tell you what to bet. We show you the maths and let you decide.
Acca odds
Leagues
Filters save to your device and apply globally.
Daily aggregator accas
Built from the model's most-confident picks today
10 odds
8 games
11.77odds
Safest of the day's big-confidence picks
Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart
Over 2.5 goals·01:30 PM
1.25
80%
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid to win·07:00 PM
1.34
75%
Le Havre vs Angers SCO
Under 2.5 goals·06:45 PM
1.36
74%
AZ vs Willem II
Over 2.5 goals·06:00 PM
1.36
73%
PSG vs Sl. Bratislava
PSG to win·07:00 PM
1.37
73%
Bayern vs Bodø/Glimt
Bayern to win·07:00 PM
1.39
72%
Watford vs Stoke
Under 2.5 goals·02:00 PM
1.40
72%
Blackburn vs Millwall
Under 2.5 goals·02:00 PM
1.44
70%
100 odds
14 games
121odds
Stretch acca, bigger payout, real variance
Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart
Over 2.5 goals·01:30 PM
1.25
80%
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid to win·07:00 PM
1.34
75%
Le Havre vs Angers SCO
Under 2.5 goals·06:45 PM
1.36
74%
AZ vs Willem II
Over 2.5 goals·06:00 PM
1.36
73%
PSG vs Sl. Bratislava
PSG to win·07:00 PM
1.37
73%
Bayern vs Bodø/Glimt
Bayern to win·07:00 PM
1.39
72%
Watford vs Stoke
Under 2.5 goals·02:00 PM
1.40
72%
Blackburn vs Millwall
Under 2.5 goals·02:00 PM
1.44
70%
Mainz vs Frankfurt
Both teams to score·01:30 PM
1.46
69%
Charlton vs QPR
Under 2.5 goals·07:00 PM
1.46
68%
Barça vs Feyenoord
Barça to win·04:45 PM
1.48
68%
Strasbourg vs Monaco
Both teams to score·03:15 PM
1.48
68%
Dortmund vs SC Paderborn
Dortmund to win·01:30 PM
1.49
67%
Go Ahead vs Groningen
Both teams to score·04:45 PM
1.49
67%
1000 odds
18 games
1,001odds
Lottery ticket, fun to dream, brutal maths
Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart
Over 2.5 goals·01:30 PM
1.25
80%
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid to win·07:00 PM
1.34
75%
AZ vs Willem II
Both teams to score·06:00 PM
1.39
72%
Blackburn vs Millwall
Under 2.5 goals·02:00 PM
1.44
70%
Mainz vs Frankfurt
Both teams to score·01:30 PM
1.46
69%
Charlton vs QPR
Under 2.5 goals·07:00 PM
1.46
68%
Le Havre vs Angers SCO
Both teams NOT to both score·06:45 PM
1.47
68%
Barça vs Feyenoord
Barça to win·04:45 PM
1.48
68%
Strasbourg vs Monaco
Both teams to score·03:15 PM
1.48
68%
Dortmund vs SC Paderborn
Dortmund to win·01:30 PM
1.49
67%
Go Ahead vs Groningen
Both teams to score·04:45 PM
1.49
67%
Norwich vs Birmingham
Under 2.5 goals·06:45 PM
1.50
67%
Sunderland vs Arsenal
Under 2.5 goals·07:00 PM
1.50
67%
Augsburg vs Leverkusen
Both teams to score·01:30 PM
1.52
66%
Casa Pia vs Porto
Porto to win·05:00 PM
1.54
65%
Sittard vs Ajax
Both teams to score·06:00 PM
1.55
65%
Cambuur vs NEC
Both teams to score·07:00 PM
1.56
64%
Auxerre vs Nice
Under 2.5 goals·06:45 PM
1.57
64%
10,000 odds
21 games
10,009odds
Pure lottery, bet only what you'd burn
Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart
Over 2.5 goals·01:30 PM
1.25
80%
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid to win·07:00 PM
1.34
75%
Go Ahead vs Groningen
Over 2.5 goals·04:45 PM
1.51
66%
Sittard vs Ajax
Both teams to score·06:00 PM
1.55
65%
Blackburn vs Millwall
Both teams NOT to both score·02:00 PM
1.56
64%
Cambuur vs NEC
Both teams to score·07:00 PM
1.56
64%
Dortmund vs SC Paderborn
Over 2.5 goals·01:30 PM
1.56
64%
Auxerre vs Nice
Under 2.5 goals·06:45 PM
1.57
64%
Liverpool vs Fulham
Liverpool to win·02:00 PM
1.58
63%
Union Berlin vs Schalke
Both teams to score·06:30 PM
1.58
63%
Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town
Under 2.5 goals·02:00 PM
1.58
63%
PSG vs Sl. Bratislava
Over 2.5 goals·07:00 PM
1.58
63%
Napoli vs Arsenal
Both teams to score·07:00 PM
1.59
63%
Watford vs Stoke
Both teams NOT to both score·02:00 PM
1.59
63%
Paris FC vs Olympique Lyon
Both teams to score·06:45 PM
1.59
63%
West Brom vs QPR
Under 2.5 goals·11:30 AM
1.60
63%
Derby County vs Birmingham
Under 2.5 goals·11:30 AM
1.60
63%
Barça vs Feyenoord
Over 2.5 goals·04:45 PM
1.60
63%
Aston Villa vs Nottingham
Both teams to score·02:00 PM
1.61
62%
Southampton vs Bristol City
Under 2.5 goals·02:00 PM
1.61
62%
Derby County vs West Brom
Under 2.5 goals·06:45 PM
1.63
62%
Joint probability assumes leg outcomes are independent, which they aren't perfectly. Real variance is higher than the model shows. Accumulators amplify both upside and model error, so keep stakes small. Treat the 1000-odd and 10,000-odd slots as entertainment, not investment.
Best per league
Safest 10-odds acca for each league
Same algorithm but built only from a single competition's fixtures, useful if you prefer to bet within one league.
Championship
10 odds
6 games
11.18odds
Safest of the day's big-confidence picks
Watford vs Stoke
Under 2.5 goals·02:00 PM
1.40
72%
Blackburn vs Millwall
Under 2.5 goals·02:00 PM
1.44
70%
Charlton vs QPR
Under 2.5 goals·07:00 PM
1.46
68%
Norwich vs Birmingham
Under 2.5 goals·06:45 PM
1.50
67%
West Brom vs QPR
Under 2.5 goals·11:30 AM
1.60
63%
Derby County vs Birmingham
Under 2.5 goals·11:30 AM
1.60
63%
Bundesliga
10 odds
5 games
10.09odds
Safest of the day's big-confidence picks
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
10 odds
5 games
17.42odds
Safest of the day's big-confidence picks
Eredivisie
10 odds
5 games
12.61odds
Safest of the day's big-confidence picks
Ligue 1
10 odds
5 games
10.03odds
Safest of the day's big-confidence picks
Premier League
10 odds
5 games
10.58odds
Safest of the day's big-confidence picks
UEFA Champions League
10 odds
5 games
10.15odds
Safest of the day's big-confidence picks
Primeira Liga
10 odds
4 games
10.10odds
Safest of the day's big-confidence picks
Primera Division
10 odds
4 games
10.32odds
Safest of the day's big-confidence picks
Serie A
10 odds
4 games
10.03odds
Safest of the day's big-confidence picks
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All matches
Upcoming fixtures with model probabilities
207 matches · sorted by kickoff · matches flagged Value have a positive model edge
Twente
Telstar
Barça
Feyenoord
Stuttgart
Viking
Derby County
West Brom
Norwich
Birmingham
Liverpool
Atleti
Napoli
Arsenal
Charlton
QPR
PSG
Sl. Bratislava
Sporting CP
Galatasaray