UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, September 9, 2026 · 07:00 PM
Paris Saint-Germain FCvsŠK Slovan Bratislava
Outcome probabilities
PSG
73%
fair odds 1.37
Draw
18%
fair odds 5.42
Sl. Bratislava
8%
fair odds 11.91
Market vs model
Market median
1.05 / 15.00 / 34.50
Model edge
+189.7%
Recommended stake
1.42% of bankroll
Model rates the away outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
2.47 - 0.78
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals
37%
Form & scorers
Sl. Bratislava
Recent form unavailable.
UEFA Champions League top scorers
- 1Erling HaalandMan City2
- 2Sehrou GuirassyDortmund2
- 3BartraReal Betis2
- 4John McGinnAston Villa1
- 5Hugo VetlesenClub Brugge1
- 6Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa1
- 7Nicolas JacksonAston Villa1
- 8Nicolo TresoldiClub Brugge1
Most likely scorelines
- #12 - 011.8%
- #23 - 09.7%
- #32 - 19.2%
- #41 - 18.8%
- #51 - 08.2%
Place this bet at
Affiliate links, Mintscore earns commission if you sign up. Doesn't affect odds you receive.
Got a code on another bookmaker?
Convert booking codes between SportyBet, Bet9ja, 1xBet, BetKing & MSport instantly.
Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →