The receipts.
Wins and losses, openly.

Overall

By market

Different market types have different baseline accuracy. A 75% favourite winning at home isn't the same achievement as a 55% over-2.5 call landing.

• Both teams to score

  n = 569 · model expected 58%

  58.7%

• Over 2.5 goals

  n = 522 · model expected 55%

  57.9%

• Under 2.5 goals

  n = 163 · model expected 59%

  44.8%

• Both teams NOT to both score

  n = 116 · model expected 57%

  45.7%

• Barça to win

  n = 8 · model expected 65%

  75.0%

• Fluminense to win

  n = 7 · model expected 42%

  57.1%

• PSG to win

  n = 7 · model expected 65%

  42.9%

• Man City to win

  n = 7 · model expected 72%

  71.4%

• Real Madrid to win

  n = 7 · model expected 64%

  85.7%

• Bahia to win

  n = 7 · model expected 42%

  42.9%

• Coritiba to win

  n = 7 · model expected 42%

  42.9%

• Corinthians to win

  n = 7 · model expected 42%

  42.9%

• Celta to win

  n = 7 · model expected 44%

  14.3%

• Clube do Remo to win

  n = 7 · model expected 42%

  28.6%

• France to win

  n = 6 · model expected 42%

  66.7%

• Vitória to win

  n = 6 · model expected 42%

  66.7%

• Bragantino to win

  n = 6 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Botafogo to win

  n = 6 · model expected 42%

  33.3%

• Flamengo to win

  n = 6 · model expected 42%

  66.7%

• Mirassol to win

  n = 6 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Feyenoord to win

  n = 6 · model expected 54%

  50.0%

• Cruzeiro to win

  n = 6 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Arsenal to win

  n = 6 · model expected 60%

  100.0%

• Inter to win

  n = 6 · model expected 64%

  66.7%

• PSV to win

  n = 6 · model expected 58%

  83.3%

• Grêmio to win

  n = 6 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Internacional to win

  n = 6 · model expected 42%

  16.7%

• Vasco da Gama to win

  n = 6 · model expected 42%

  33.3%

• Santos to win

  n = 6 · model expected 42%

  33.3%

• Porto to win

  n = 6 · model expected 66%

  100.0%

• Southampton to win

  n = 6 · model expected 47%

  50.0%

• Atleti to win

  n = 6 · model expected 56%

  50.0%

• Twente to win

  n = 5 · model expected 46%

  60.0%

• Middlesbrough to win

  n = 5 · model expected 52%

  60.0%

• Spain to win

  n = 5 · model expected 42%

  80.0%

• São Paulo to win

  n = 5 · model expected 42%

  40.0%

• Paranaense to win

  n = 5 · model expected 42%

  40.0%

• Palmeiras to win

  n = 5 · model expected 42%

  40.0%

• Argentina to win

  n = 5 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Mineiro to win

  n = 5 · model expected 42%

  60.0%

• Roma to win

  n = 5 · model expected 61%

  100.0%

• Ajax to win

  n = 4 · model expected 47%

  50.0%

• Real Betis to win

  n = 4 · model expected 51%

  75.0%

• Como 1907 to win

  n = 4 · model expected 56%

  75.0%

• Milan to win

  n = 4 · model expected 53%

  50.0%

• Rayo Vallecano to win

  n = 4 · model expected 46%

  50.0%

• Newcastle to win

  n = 4 · model expected 48%

  50.0%

• Juventus to win

  n = 4 · model expected 56%

  50.0%

• Switzerland to win

  n = 4 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Bayern to win

  n = 4 · model expected 74%

  75.0%

• Sporting CP to win

  n = 4 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Alverca to win

  n = 4 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Portugal to win

  n = 4 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Chapecoense to win

  n = 4 · model expected 42%

  25.0%

• Brazil to win

  n = 4 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• England to win

  n = 4 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Mexico to win

  n = 4 · model expected 42%

  75.0%

• Gil Vicente to win

  n = 4 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Vitória SC to win

  n = 4 · model expected 42%

  25.0%

• Olympique Lyon to win

  n = 4 · model expected 53%

  50.0%

• USA to win

  n = 4 · model expected 42%

  75.0%

• Brighton Hove to win

  n = 4 · model expected 54%

  50.0%

• RB Leipzig to win

  n = 4 · model expected 57%

  50.0%

• Zwolle to win

  n = 3 · model expected 44%

  0.0%

• Santa Clara to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  66.7%

• Cagliari to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  66.7%

• Man United to win

  n = 3 · model expected 54%

  66.7%

• Atalanta to win

  n = 3 · model expected 51%

  33.3%

• Osasuna to win

  n = 3 · model expected 45%

  33.3%

• Elche to win

  n = 3 · model expected 49%

  33.3%

• Germany to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  66.7%

• Marítimo to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  33.3%

• Lorient to win

  n = 3 · model expected 44%

  0.0%

• Marseille to win

  n = 3 · model expected 57%

  66.7%

• Napoli to win

  n = 3 · model expected 55%

  66.7%

• Groningen to win

  n = 3 · model expected 43%

  66.7%

• Netherlands to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  33.3%

• Draw

  n = 3 · model expected 43%

  0.0%

• Birmingham to win

  n = 3 · model expected 49%

  0.0%

• Norway to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  33.3%

• Norwich to win

  n = 3 · model expected 43%

  33.3%

• Millwall to win

  n = 3 · model expected 43%

  66.7%

• Stade Rennais to win

  n = 3 · model expected 46%

  100.0%

• Willem II to win

  n = 3 · model expected 46%

  0.0%

• Telstar to win

  n = 3 · model expected 48%

  33.3%

• Fulham to win

  n = 3 · model expected 48%

  33.3%

• Belgium to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  33.3%

• Villarreal to win

  n = 3 · model expected 60%

  33.3%

• Liverpool to win

  n = 3 · model expected 57%

  0.0%

• Lille to win

  n = 3 · model expected 54%

  66.7%

• Brentford to win

  n = 3 · model expected 50%

  33.3%

• Estoril Praia to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• CD Nacional to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  66.7%

• AZ to win

  n = 3 · model expected 50%

  66.7%

• Dortmund to win

  n = 3 · model expected 54%

  100.0%

• Arouca to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Famalicão to win

  n = 3 · model expected 52%

  33.3%

• SL Benfica to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  33.3%

• Canada to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  33.3%

• Sassuolo to win

  n = 3 · model expected 48%

  33.3%

• Real Sociedad to win

  n = 3 · model expected 55%

  33.3%

• Leverkusen to win

  n = 3 · model expected 60%

  33.3%

• Heerenveen to win

  n = 3 · model expected 44%

  0.0%

• Colombia to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  66.7%

• Casa Pia to win

  n = 3 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Utrecht to win

  n = 3 · model expected 48%

  33.3%

• Go Ahead to win

  n = 3 · model expected 47%

  66.7%

• Sittard to win

  n = 3 · model expected 44%

  66.7%

• Panama to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Auxerre to win

  n = 2 · model expected 45%

  50.0%

• Burnley to win

  n = 2 · model expected 46%

  0.0%

• Sunderland to win

  n = 2 · model expected 47%

  50.0%

• Braga to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Paraguay to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Moreirense to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Ecuador to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Rio Ave to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Deportivo to win

  n = 2 · model expected 56%

  50.0%

• Turkey to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Mallorca to win

  n = 2 · model expected 54%

  50.0%

• Australia to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Chelsea to win

  n = 2 · model expected 48%

  50.0%

• Stoke to win

  n = 2 · model expected 47%

  50.0%

• Brest to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Scotland to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Frankfurt to win

  n = 2 · model expected 51%

  0.0%

• Ivory Coast to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Wrexham to win

  n = 2 · model expected 54%

  0.0%

• Uruguay to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Fiorentina to win

  n = 2 · model expected 47%

  0.0%

• Den Haag to win

  n = 2 · model expected 46%

  0.0%

• Wolverhampton to win

  n = 2 · model expected 45%

  50.0%

• West Brom to win

  n = 2 · model expected 45%

  50.0%

• Monaco to win

  n = 2 · model expected 50%

  50.0%

• Hoffenheim to win

  n = 2 · model expected 43%

  50.0%

• Leeds United to win

  n = 2 · model expected 46%

  50.0%

• Athletic to win

  n = 2 · model expected 65%

  0.0%

• Jordan to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Tunisia to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Sevilla FC to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Amadora to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Málaga to win

  n = 2 · model expected 47%

  0.0%

• SC Paderborn to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Ipswich Town to win

  n = 2 · model expected 45%

  50.0%

• Sheffield Utd to win

  n = 2 · model expected 48%

  50.0%

• Le Havre to win

  n = 2 · model expected 46%

  0.0%

• New Zealand to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Real Oviedo to win

  n = 2 · model expected 48%

  0.0%

• RC Lens to win

  n = 2 · model expected 47%

  50.0%

• South Africa to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  50.0%

• Le Mans to win

  n = 2 · model expected 53%

  0.0%

• NEC to win

  n = 2 · model expected 44%

  50.0%

• Alavés to win

  n = 2 · model expected 43%

  50.0%

• Tottenham to win

  n = 2 · model expected 51%

  0.0%

• Derby County to win

  n = 2 · model expected 44%

  0.0%

• Czechia to win

  n = 2 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Excelsior to win

  n = 2 · model expected 50%

  50.0%

• Swansea to win

  n = 2 · model expected 48%

  50.0%

• Sweden to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Monza to win

  n = 1 · model expected 48%

  0.0%

• Portsmouth to win

  n = 1 · model expected 45%

  0.0%

• Haiti to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Korea Republic to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Levante to win

  n = 1 · model expected 43%

  100.0%

• Stuttgart to win

  n = 1 · model expected 64%

  100.0%

• Uzbekistan to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Strasbourg to win

  n = 1 · model expected 51%

  100.0%

• Aston Villa to win

  n = 1 · model expected 40%

  100.0%

• Bristol City to win

  n = 1 · model expected 51%

  100.0%

• Volendam to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Schalke to win

  n = 1 · model expected 40%

  0.0%

• Union Berlin to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Angers SCO to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Coventry City to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• HSV to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Senegal to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Verona to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Cape Verde to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Saudi Arabia to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Everton to win

  n = 1 · model expected 52%

  0.0%

• Japan to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Acad. Viseu to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Congo DR to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• AVS to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Iran to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Crystal Palace to win

  n = 1 · model expected 56%

  0.0%

• Toulouse to win

  n = 1 · model expected 44%

  100.0%

• M'gladbach to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Bournemouth to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Lazio to win

  n = 1 · model expected 70%

  100.0%

• St. Pauli to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Augsburg to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Udinese to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Cambuur to win

  n = 1 · model expected 46%

  0.0%

• Parma to win

  n = 1 · model expected 41%

  0.0%

• 1. FC Köln to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Hull City to win

  n = 1 · model expected 40%

  0.0%

• Croatia to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Girona to win

  n = 1 · model expected 43%

  0.0%

• Genoa to win

  n = 1 · model expected 47%

  0.0%

• Sparta to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Heidenheim to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Venezia FC to win

  n = 1 · model expected 48%

  0.0%

• Heracles to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Egypt to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Paris FC to win

  n = 1 · model expected 51%

  100.0%

• Lincoln City to win

  n = 1 · model expected 53%

  0.0%

• Qatar to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Morocco to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• FC Metz to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Iraq to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Freiburg to win

  n = 1 · model expected 50%

  100.0%

• Algeria to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• West Ham to win

  n = 1 · model expected 46%

  0.0%

• Curaçao to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Mainz to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Cremonese to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Ghana to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Santander to win

  n = 1 · model expected 60%

  100.0%

• Bosnia-H. to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Tondela to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

• Nice to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  0.0%

• Austria to win

  n = 1 · model expected 42%

  100.0%

By competition

• Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

  n = 357

  51.3%

• FIFA World Cup

  n = 312

  54.8%

• Primera Division

  n = 226

  51.8%

• Primeira Liga

  n = 177

  48.0%

• Premier League

  n = 174

  54.6%

• Eredivisie

  n = 174

  64.4%

• Serie A

  n = 165

  53.3%

• Championship

  n = 163

  41.1%

• Ligue 1

  n = 130

  48.5%

• Bundesliga

  n = 101

  60.4%

• UEFA Champions League

  n = 3

  100.0%

Recent results

• EC Vitória 1-0 Grêmio FBPACampeonato Brasileiro Série A

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 51% · MISS

  • Both teams to score

    Model 56% · MISS

  • Vitória to win

    Model 42% · HIT

• Elche CF 2-3 Real Sociedad de FútbolPrimera Division

  • Under 2.5 goals

    Model 50% · MISS

  • Both teams to score

    Model 54% · HIT

  • Elche to win

    Model 49% · MISS

• GD Estoril Praia 0-0 FC AroucaPrimeira Liga

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 50% · MISS

  • Both teams to score

    Model 56% · MISS

  • Estoril Praia to win

    Model 42% · MISS

• Udinese Calcio 1-2 SS LazioSerie A

  • Under 2.5 goals

    Model 86% · MISS

  • Both teams NOT to both score

    Model 75% · MISS

  • Draw

    Model 44% · MISS

• Getafe CF 1-1 RC Celta de VigoPrimera Division

  • Under 2.5 goals

    Model 77% · HIT

  • Both teams NOT to both score

    Model 68% · MISS

  • Celta to win

    Model 41% · MISS

• Cagliari Calcio 1-0 US LecceSerie A

  • Under 2.5 goals

    Model 66% · HIT

  • Both teams NOT to both score

    Model 57% · HIT

  • Cagliari to win

    Model 43% · HIT

• SC Corinthians Paulista 1-2 Chapecoense AFCampeonato Brasileiro Série A

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 51% · HIT

  • Both teams to score

    Model 56% · HIT

  • Corinthians to win

    Model 42% · MISS

• Botafogo FR 0-0 SE PalmeirasCampeonato Brasileiro Série A

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 51% · MISS

  • Both teams to score

    Model 56% · MISS

  • Botafogo to win

    Model 42% · MISS

• Gil Vicente FC 0-1 Académico de Viseu FCPrimeira Liga

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 50% · MISS

  • Both teams to score

    Model 56% · MISS

  • Gil Vicente to win

    Model 42% · MISS

• Clube do Remo 0-1 CR FlamengoCampeonato Brasileiro Série A

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 51% · MISS

  • Both teams to score

    Model 56% · MISS

  • Clube do Remo to win

    Model 42% · MISS

• RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1-1 Sevilla FCPrimera Division

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 51% · MISS

  • Both teams to score

    Model 58% · HIT

• SC Internacional 2-3 Santos FCCampeonato Brasileiro Série A

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 51% · HIT

  • Both teams to score

    Model 56% · HIT

  • Internacional to win

    Model 42% · MISS

• Cruzeiro EC 3-1 CA ParanaenseCampeonato Brasileiro Série A

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 51% · HIT

  • Both teams to score

    Model 56% · HIT

  • Cruzeiro to win

    Model 42% · HIT

• Olympique de Marseille 2-3 Paris FCLigue 1

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 60% · HIT

  • Both teams to score

    Model 59% · HIT

  • Marseille to win

    Model 59% · MISS

• Juventus FC 1-1 AC MilanSerie A

  • Under 2.5 goals

    Model 64% · HIT

  • Both teams NOT to both score

    Model 54% · MISS

• Vitória SC 0-0 Casa Pia ACPrimeira Liga

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 50% · MISS

  • Both teams to score

    Model 56% · MISS

  • Vitória SC to win

    Model 42% · MISS

• Málaga CF 0-0 Levante UDPrimera Division

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 54% · MISS

  • Both teams to score

    Model 57% · MISS

  • Málaga to win

    Model 50% · MISS

• Deportivo Alavés 5-2 CA OsasunaPrimera Division

  • Under 2.5 goals

    Model 67% · MISS

  • Both teams NOT to both score

    Model 59% · MISS

  • Alavés to win

    Model 42% · HIT

• Bologna FC 1909 2-2 US Sassuolo CalcioSerie A

  • Under 2.5 goals

    Model 67% · MISS

  • Both teams NOT to both score

    Model 58% · MISS

• Eintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC AugsburgBundesliga

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 61% · HIT

  • Both teams to score

    Model 63% · HIT

  • Frankfurt to win

    Model 49% · MISS