Mintscore

Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 07:00 PM

SC InternacionalvsSantos FC

Score timeline

Internacional

2 - 3

Santos

Full time · HT 03

First half

0 - 3

Internacional v Santos

Second half

2 - 0

Internacional v Santos

Goals by half

Internacional
Santos

Each tick is a goal.

Match highlights

Full time 2–3

Watch on YouTube

Outcome probabilities

42%
30%
28%
Internacional winDrawSantos win

Internacional

42%

fair odds 2.38

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.35

Santos

28%

fair odds 3.55

Market vs model

Market median

40.50 / 12.00 / 1.04

Model edge

+1599.7%

Recommended stake

2.50% of bankroll

Model rates the home outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.50 - 1.20

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Under 2.5 goals

49%

Head to head · last 6

3

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

15

Goals for

8

Goals against

Form & scorers

Top scorers playing today

  • Gabriel BarbosaSantos10goals

Campeonato Brasileiro Série A top scorers

  • 1Kevin ViverosParanaense17
  • 2PedroFlamengo15
  • 3Carlos ViníciusGrêmio10
  • 4John KennedyFluminense9
  • 5Samuel LinoFlamengo9
  • 6José Manuel LópezPalmeiras8
  • 7LucianoSão Paulo8
  • 8Breno LopesCoritiba8

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.3%
  • #22 - 1
    9.1%
  • #30 - 0
    8.9%
  • #41 - 0
    7.9%
  • #52 - 0
    7.6%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →