Primera Division · Monday, September 7, 2026 · 07:30 PM
Elche CFvsReal Sociedad de Fútbol
Score timeline
Elche
2 - 3
Real Sociedad
Full time · HT 0–2
First half
0 - 2
Elche v Real Sociedad
Second half
2 - 1
Elche v Real Sociedad
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Watch Elche vs Real Sociedad highlightsFull time 2–3 · opens YouTube in a new tabHighlights are hosted on YouTube by the competition's rights holders; availability varies.
Outcome probabilities
Elche
49%
fair odds 2.03
Draw
29%
fair odds 3.46
Real Sociedad
22%
fair odds 4.57
Market vs model
Market median
2.90 / 3.50 / 2.33
Model edge
+42.8%
Recommended stake
2.50% of bankroll
Model rates the home outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.63 - 1.04
Both teams to score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
Head to head · last 6
0
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
5
Goals for
12
Goals against
- LSep 7, 2026Elche 2 - 3 Real SociedadPrimera Division
- LFeb 7, 2026Real Sociedad 3 - 1 ElchePrimera Division
- DNov 7, 2025Elche 1 - 1 Real SociedadPrimera Division
- LMar 19, 2023Real Sociedad 2 - 0 ElchePrimera Division
- LAug 27, 2022Elche 0 - 1 Real SociedadPrimera Division
- LApr 10, 2022Elche 1 - 2 Real SociedadPrimera Division
Form & scorers
Elche · last 4
0W · 1D · 3L
Real Sociedad · last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Primera Division top scorers
- 1RaphinhaBarça6
- 2Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano5
- 3Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo4
- 4Fermín LópezBarça4
- 5Kylian MbappéReal Madrid4
- 6Ante BudimirOsasuna4
- 7Lucas BoyéAlavés4
- 8Lamine YamalBarça4
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 113.8%
- #22 - 19.6%
- #32 - 09.3%
- #41 - 09.2%
- #50 - 09.0%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →