Mintscore

Primera Division · Friday, November 7, 2025 · 08:00 PM

Elche CFvsReal Sociedad de Fútbol

Score timeline

Elche

1 - 1

Real Sociedad

Full time · HT 0–0

First half

0 - 0

Elche v Real Sociedad

Second half

1 - 1

Elche v Real Sociedad

Goals by half

Elche
Real Sociedad

Each tick is a goal.

Match highlights

Watch Elche vs Real Sociedad highlightsFull time 1–1 · opens YouTube in a new tab

Highlights are hosted on YouTube by the competition's rights holders; availability varies.

Outcome probabilities

49%
29%
22%
Elche winDrawReal Sociedad win

Elche

49%

fair odds 2.03

Draw

29%

fair odds 3.46

Real Sociedad

22%

fair odds 4.57

Market vs model

Market median

2.90 / 3.50 / 2.33

Model edge

+42.8%

Recommended stake

2.50% of bankroll

Model rates the home outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.63 - 1.04

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

Head to head · last 6

0

Wins

1

Draws

5

Losses

3

Goals for

10

Goals against

Form & scorers

Elche · last 4

LLLD

0W · 1D · 3L

Real Sociedad · last 5

WDWLL

2W · 1D · 2L

Primera Division top scorers

  • 1RaphinhaBarça6
  • 2Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano5
  • 3Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo4
  • 4Fermín LópezBarça4
  • 5Kylian MbappéReal Madrid4
  • 6Ante BudimirOsasuna4
  • 7Lucas BoyéAlavés4
  • 8Lamine YamalBarça4

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    13.8%
  • #22 - 1
    9.6%
  • #32 - 0
    9.3%
  • #41 - 0
    9.2%
  • #50 - 0
    9.0%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →