Serie A · Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 06:45 PM
Juventus FCvsAC Milan
Score timeline
Juventus
1 - 1
Milan
Full time · HT 0–0
First half
0 - 0
Juventus v Milan
Second half
1 - 1
Juventus v Milan
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Full time 1–1
Watch on YouTubeOutcome probabilities
Juventus
32%
fair odds 3.10
Draw
34%
fair odds 2.91
Milan
33%
fair odds 2.99
Market vs model
Market median
2.10 / 3.25 / 3.70
Model edge
+23.7%
Recommended stake
2.19% of bankroll
Model rates the away outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.06 - 1.09
Both teams to score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Under 2.5 goals
64%
Head to head · last 5
1
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals for
1
Goals against
Form & scorers
Juventus · last 3
2W · 1D · 0L
Milan · last 3
2W · 1D · 0L
Top scorers playing today
- Alphadjo CisseMilan2goals
Serie A top scorers
- 1Donyell MalenRoma5
- 2Antonio RaimondoFrosinone4
- 3Davide FrattesiLazio3
- 4Hassane KamaraUdinese2
- 5Anastasios DouvikasComo 19072
- 6Hakan ÇalhanoğluInter2
- 7Gustavo VarelaMonza2
- 8Che AdamsTorino2
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 115.9%
- #20 - 014.0%
- #30 - 110.2%
- #41 - 09.9%
- #51 - 27.3%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →