Mintscore

Bundesliga · Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 01:30 PM

Hamburger SVvs1. FSV Mainz 05

Score timeline

HSV

0 - 5

Mainz

Full time · HT 02

First half

0 - 2

HSV v Mainz

Second half

0 - 3

HSV v Mainz

Goals by half

HSV
Mainz

Each tick is a goal.

Match highlights

Full time 0–5

Watch on YouTube

Outcome probabilities

38%
31%
31%
HSV winDrawMainz win

HSV

38%

fair odds 2.61

Draw

31%

fair odds 3.22

Mainz

31%

fair odds 3.26

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.36 - 1.20

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

Head to head · last 3

1

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

5

Goals for

6

Goals against

Form & scorers

HSV · last 2

LL

0W · 0D · 2L

Mainz · last 2

WD

1W · 1D · 0L

Top scorers playing today

  • Phillip TietzMainz2goals

Bundesliga top scorers

  • 1Younes EbnoutalibFrankfurt3
  • 2Yuito SuzukiFreiburg3
  • 3Josha VagnomanStuttgart2
  • 4Ridle BakuRB Leipzig2
  • 5David Mokwa NtusuElversberg2
  • 6Patrik SchickLeverkusen2
  • 7Thijs Dallinga1. FC Köln2
  • 8Sehrou GuirassyDortmund2

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.9%
  • #20 - 0
    10.0%
  • #32 - 1
    8.6%
  • #41 - 0
    8.2%
  • #51 - 2
    7.6%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →