Mintscore

Bundesliga · Friday, February 20, 2026 · 07:30 PM

1. FSV Mainz 05vsHamburger SV

Score timeline

Mainz

1 - 1

HSV

Full time · HT 10

First half

1 - 0

Mainz v HSV

Second half

0 - 1

Mainz v HSV

Goals by half

Mainz
HSV

Each tick is a goal.

Match highlights

Full time 1–1

Watch on YouTube

Outcome probabilities

44%
33%
23%
Mainz winDrawHSV win

Mainz

44%

fair odds 2.28

Draw

33%

fair odds 3.03

HSV

23%

fair odds 4.33

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.31 - 0.89

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Under 2.5 goals

62%

Head to head · last 3

1

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

6

Goals for

5

Goals against

Form & scorers

Mainz · last 2

WD

1W · 1D · 0L

HSV · last 2

LL

0W · 0D · 2L

Top scorers playing today

  • Phillip TietzMainz2goals

Bundesliga top scorers

  • 1Younes EbnoutalibFrankfurt3
  • 2Yuito SuzukiFreiburg3
  • 3Josha VagnomanStuttgart2
  • 4Ridle BakuRB Leipzig2
  • 5David Mokwa NtusuElversberg2
  • 6Patrik SchickLeverkusen2
  • 7Thijs Dallinga1. FC Köln2
  • 8Sehrou GuirassyDortmund2

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    15.3%
  • #20 - 0
    13.4%
  • #31 - 0
    12.2%
  • #42 - 0
    9.5%
  • #52 - 1
    8.5%

Place this bet at

Affiliate links, Mintscore earns commission if you sign up. Doesn't affect odds you receive.

Got a code on another bookmaker?

Convert booking codes between SportyBet, Bet9ja, 1xBet, BetKing & MSport instantly.

Share

Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →