Bundesliga · Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 01:30 PM
Borussia DortmundvsHamburger SV
Outcome probabilities
78%
16%
Dortmund winDrawHSV win
Dortmund
78%
fair odds 1.28
Draw
16%
fair odds 6.06
HSV
5%
fair odds 18.88
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
2.49 - 0.57
Both teams to score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
Head to head · last 2
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
4
Goals for
3
Goals against
Most likely scorelines
- #12 - 014.5%
- #23 - 012.1%
- #31 - 010.5%
- #42 - 18.3%
- #51 - 17.8%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →