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Bundesliga · Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 01:30 PM

1. FSV Mainz 05vsSC Paderborn 07

Outcome probabilities

30%
30%
40%
Mainz winDrawSC Paderborn win

Mainz

30%

fair odds 3.38

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.34

SC Paderborn

40%

fair odds 2.47

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.24 - 1.47

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Under 2.5 goals

49%

Head to head · last 1

1

Wins

0

Draws

0

Losses

2

Goals for

0

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.3%
  • #21 - 2
    8.9%
  • #30 - 0
    8.9%
  • #40 - 1
    7.6%
  • #52 - 1
    7.5%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →