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UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, November 25, 2025 · 08:00 PM

Borussia DortmundvsVillarreal CF

Score timeline

Dortmund

4 - 0

Villarreal

Full time · HT 10

First half

1 - 0

Dortmund v Villarreal

Second half

3 - 0

Dortmund v Villarreal

Goals by half

Dortmund
Villarreal

Each tick is a goal.

Match highlights

Watch Dortmund vs Villarreal highlightsFull time 4–0 · opens YouTube in a new tab

Highlights are hosted on YouTube by the competition's rights holders; availability varies.

Outcome probabilities

56%
25%
19%
Dortmund winDrawVillarreal win

Dortmund

56%

fair odds 1.78

Draw

25%

fair odds 4.04

Villarreal

19%

fair odds 5.22

Market vs model

Market median

1.75 / 4.03 / 4.15

Model edge

-0.3%

Recommended stake

no stake

Market is roughly aligned with the model. No edge worth chasing here.

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

2.03 - 1.14

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

Under 2.5 goals

39%

Head to head · last 1

1

Wins

0

Draws

0

Losses

4

Goals for

0

Goals against

Form & scorers

Top scorers playing today

  • Sehrou GuirassyDortmund2goals

UEFA Champions League top scorers

  • 1Erling HaalandMan City2
  • 2BartraReal Betis2
  • 3John McGinnAston Villa1
  • 4Hugo VetlesenClub Brugge1
  • 5Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa1
  • 6Nicolas JacksonAston Villa1
  • 7Nicolo TresoldiClub Brugge1
  • 8Răzvan MarinPAE AEK1

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    11.5%
  • #22 - 1
    9.9%
  • #32 - 0
    8.7%
  • #41 - 0
    6.8%
  • #53 - 1
    6.7%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →