Mintscore

Primeira Liga · Saturday, May 16, 2026 · 05:00 PM

FC AroucavsCD Tondela

Score timeline

Arouca

3 - 1

Tondela

Full time · HT 10

First half

1 - 0

Arouca v Tondela

Second half

2 - 1

Arouca v Tondela

Goals by half

Arouca
Tondela

Each tick is a goal.

Outcome probabilities

42%
30%
28%
Arouca winDrawTondela win

Arouca

42%

fair odds 2.37

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.34

Tondela

28%

fair odds 3.58

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.50 - 1.19

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

Head to head · last 4

2

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

8

Goals for

6

Goals against

Form & scorers

Arouca

Recent form unavailable.

Tondela

Recent form unavailable.

Primeira Liga top scorers

  • 1Luis SuárezSporting CP28
  • 2Vangelis PavlidisSL Benfica23
  • 3Yanis BegraouiEstoril Praia20
  • 4ChuchuCD Nacional18
  • 5Rodrigo ZalazarBraga16
  • 6Ricardo HortaBraga15
  • 7Samu OmorodionPorto13
  • 8Pedro GonçalvesSporting CP13

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.3%
  • #22 - 1
    9.1%
  • #30 - 0
    9.0%
  • #41 - 0
    8.0%
  • #52 - 0
    7.7%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →