Primeira Liga · Monday, May 11, 2026 · 07:15 PM
Vitória SCvsCasa Pia AC
Score timeline
Vitória SC
0 - 1
Casa Pia
Full time · HT 0–0
First half
0 - 0
Vitória SC v Casa Pia
Second half
0 - 1
Vitória SC v Casa Pia
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Full time 0–1
Watch on YouTubeOutcome probabilities
Vitória SC
42%
fair odds 2.37
Draw
30%
fair odds 3.34
Casa Pia
28%
fair odds 3.58
Market vs model
Market median
1.44 / 4.10 / 6.50
Model edge
+81.3%
Recommended stake
2.50% of bankroll
Model rates the away outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.50 - 1.19
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
Head to head · last 6
1
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals for
4
Goals against
- DSep 6, 2026Vitória SC 0 - 0 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
- LMay 11, 2026Vitória SC 0 - 1 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
- DDec 28, 2025Casa Pia 0 - 0 Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
- WMar 1, 2025Vitória SC 1 - 0 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
- DSep 28, 2024Casa Pia 1 - 1 Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
- LFeb 24, 2024Vitória SC 0 - 2 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
Form & scorers
Vitória SC · last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Casa Pia · last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
Primeira Liga top scorers
- 1Vangelis PavlidisSL Benfica5
- 2Leandro AntonettiAmadora4
- 3Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara4
- 4Luis SuárezSporting CP4
- 5Georgios KoutsiasFamalicão3
- 6BarberoArouca3
- 7Gabriel VeigaPorto3
- 8Pau Victor DelgadoBraga3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 114.3%
- #22 - 19.1%
- #30 - 09.0%
- #41 - 08.0%
- #52 - 07.7%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →