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Primeira Liga · Saturday, December 20, 2025 · 06:00 PM

Gil Vicente FCvsRio Ave FC

Score timeline

Gil Vicente

2 - 2

Rio Ave

Full time · HT 11

First half

1 - 1

Gil Vicente v Rio Ave

Second half

1 - 1

Gil Vicente v Rio Ave

Goals by half

Gil Vicente
Rio Ave

Each tick is a goal.

Match highlights

Watch Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave highlightsFull time 2–2 · opens YouTube in a new tab

Highlights are hosted on YouTube by the competition's rights holders; availability varies.

Outcome probabilities

42%
30%
28%
Gil Vicente winDrawRio Ave win

Gil Vicente

42%

fair odds 2.37

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.34

Rio Ave

28%

fair odds 3.58

Market vs model

Market median

1.80 / 3.50 / 4.00

Model edge

+11.6%

Recommended stake

0.97% of bankroll

Model rates the away outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.50 - 1.19

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

Head to head · last 6

0

Wins

5

Draws

1

Losses

5

Goals for

8

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.3%
  • #22 - 1
    9.1%
  • #30 - 0
    9.0%
  • #41 - 0
    8.0%
  • #52 - 0
    7.7%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →