Mintscore

Championship · Tuesday, November 25, 2025 · 07:45 PM

Swansea City AFCvsDerby County FC

Score timeline

Swansea

1 - 2

Derby County

Full time · HT 01

First half

0 - 1

Swansea v Derby County

Second half

1 - 1

Swansea v Derby County

Goals by half

Swansea
Derby County

Each tick is a goal.

Match highlights

Full time 1–2

Watch on YouTube

Outcome probabilities

35%
28%
37%
Swansea winDrawDerby County win

Swansea

35%

fair odds 2.89

Draw

28%

fair odds 3.53

Derby County

37%

fair odds 2.70

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.47 - 1.53

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

Under 2.5 goals

42%

Head to head · last 6

4

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

9

Goals for

6

Goals against

Form & scorers

Championship top scorers

  • 1William LankshearMiddlesbrough5
  • 2Cyle LarinSouthampton5
  • 3Ethan GalbraithStoke4
  • 4Jimmy MorganWest Brom3
  • 5Tyreece CampbellCharlton3
  • 6Fer LópezWolverhampton3
  • 7Mohamed ToureNorwich3
  • 8Jarrod BowenWest Ham3

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    13.2%
  • #21 - 2
    8.6%
  • #32 - 1
    8.2%
  • #40 - 0
    7.0%
  • #52 - 2
    6.3%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →