Premier League · Sunday, March 1, 2026 · 04:30 PM
Arsenal FCvsChelsea FC
Score timeline
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Full time · HT 1–1
First half
1 - 1
Arsenal v Chelsea
Second half
1 - 0
Arsenal v Chelsea
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Full time 2–1
Watch on YouTubeOutcome probabilities
Arsenal
62%
fair odds 1.60
Draw
25%
fair odds 4.07
Chelsea
13%
fair odds 7.69
Market vs model
Market median
1.70 / 3.85 / 5.00
Model edge
+6.1%
Recommended stake
2.18% of bankroll
Model rates the home outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.96 - 0.81
Both teams to score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
Head to head · last 4
3
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
6
Goals for
3
Goals against
Form & scorers
Arsenal · last 3
3W · 0D · 0L
Chelsea · last 3
2W · 0D · 1L
Top scorers playing today
- Kai HavertzArsenal2goals
- Bukayo SakaArsenal2goals
- Martin ØdegaardArsenal2goals
- João PedroChelsea2goals
Premier League top scorers
- 1Erling HaalandMan City3
- 2Alexander IsakLiverpool3
- 3Bruno FernandesMan United3
- 4Vitaly JaneltBrentford2
- 5Marcus TavernierBournemouth2
- 6Jack HinshelwoodBrighton Hove2
- 7Anthony ElangaNewcastle2
- 8Joshua KingFulham2
Most likely scorelines
- #12 - 012.0%
- #21 - 111.8%
- #31 - 010.5%
- #42 - 19.8%
- #50 - 08.1%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →