Mintscore

Premier League · Friday, August 21, 2026 · 07:00 PM

Arsenal FCvsCoventry City FC

Outcome probabilities

72%
20%
8%
Arsenal winDrawCoventry City win

Arsenal

72%

fair odds 1.38

Draw

20%

fair odds 4.90

Coventry City

7%

fair odds 14.05

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

2.16 - 0.58

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

Under 2.5 goals

48%

Most likely scorelines

  • #12 - 0
    15.1%
  • #21 - 0
    12.5%
  • #33 - 0
    10.8%
  • #41 - 1
    9.5%
  • #52 - 1
    8.7%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →