Mintscore

Premier League · Saturday, February 22, 2025 · 12:30 PM

Everton FCvsManchester United FC

Score timeline

Everton

2 - 2

Man United

Full time · HT 20

First half

2 - 0

Everton v Man United

Second half

0 - 2

Everton v Man United

Goals by half

Everton
Man United

Each tick is a goal.

Match highlights

Watch Everton vs Man United highlightsFull time 2–2 · opens YouTube in a new tab

Highlights are hosted on YouTube by the competition's rights holders; availability varies.

Outcome probabilities

27%
27%
46%
Everton winDrawMan United win

Everton

27%

fair odds 3.77

Draw

27%

fair odds 3.64

Man United

46%

fair odds 2.17

Market vs model

Market median

126.00 / 11.00 / 1.03

Model edge

+3246.1%

Recommended stake

2.50% of bankroll

Model rates the home outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.29 - 1.74

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

Under 2.5 goals

42%

Head to head · last 6

1

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

5

Goals for

11

Goals against

Form & scorers

Top scorers playing today

  • Bruno FernandesMan United3goals

Premier League top scorers

  • 1Erling HaalandMan City3
  • 2Alexander IsakLiverpool3
  • 3Kai HavertzArsenal2
  • 4Bukayo SakaArsenal2
  • 5Martin ØdegaardArsenal2
  • 6Vitaly JaneltBrentford2
  • 7Marcus TavernierBournemouth2
  • 8Jack HinshelwoodBrighton Hove2

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    12.8%
  • #21 - 2
    9.4%
  • #30 - 2
    7.3%
  • #42 - 1
    7.0%
  • #50 - 0
    6.8%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →