Premier League · Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 11:30 AM
Hull City AFCvsManchester United FC
Outcome probabilities
34%
29%
37%
Hull City winDrawMan United win
Hull City
34%
fair odds 2.90
Draw
29%
fair odds 3.49
Man United
37%
fair odds 2.71
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.44 - 1.50
Both teams to score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 113.5%
- #21 - 28.6%
- #32 - 18.2%
- #40 - 07.3%
- #52 - 26.2%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →