Primeira Liga · Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 07:30 PM
Sporting Clube de PortugalvsFC Arouca
Outcome probabilities
42%
30%
28%
Sporting CP winDrawArouca win
Sporting CP
42%
fair odds 2.37
Draw
30%
fair odds 3.34
Arouca
28%
fair odds 3.58
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.50 - 1.19
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
Head to head · last 6
5
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
18
Goals for
4
Goals against
Form & scorers
Sporting CP · last 5
DWWWW
4W · 1D · 0L
Arouca · last 5
LDWLW
2W · 1D · 2L
Top scorers playing today
- Luis SuárezSporting CP5goals
- BarberoArouca4goals
Primeira Liga top scorers
- 1Vangelis PavlidisSL Benfica8
- 2Gianluca PrestianniSL Benfica5
- 3Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara5
- 4Leandro AntonettiAmadora4
- 5Abraham MarcusAmadora4
- 6Ianis StoicaAmadora4
- 7Georgios KoutsiasFamalicão3
- 8André SilvaPorto3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 114.3%
- #22 - 19.1%
- #30 - 09.0%
- #41 - 08.0%
- #52 - 07.7%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →