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Bundesliga · Friday, August 28, 2026 · 06:30 PM

FC Bayern MünchenvsVfB Stuttgart

Outcome probabilities

79%
11%
10%
Bayern winDrawStuttgart win

Bayern

79%

fair odds 1.27

Draw

11%

fair odds 9.34

Stuttgart

10%

fair odds 9.64

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

4.37 - 1.85

Both teams to score

83%

Over 2.5 goals

95%

Under 2.5 goals

5%

Head to head · last 4

4

Wins

0

Draws

0

Losses

16

Goals for

3

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #14 - 1
    5.6%
  • #24 - 2
    5.2%
  • #33 - 1
    5.2%
  • #45 - 1
    4.9%
  • #53 - 2
    4.8%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →