Championship · Tuesday, September 8, 2026 · 07:00 PM
Bolton Wanderers FCvsWest Ham United FC
Score timeline
Bolton
2 - 3
West Ham
Full time · HT 2–2
First half
2 - 2
Bolton v West Ham
Second half
0 - 1
Bolton v West Ham
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Watch Bolton vs West Ham highlightsFull time 2–3 · opens YouTube in a new tabHighlights are hosted on YouTube by the competition's rights holders; availability varies.
Outcome probabilities
Bolton
39%
fair odds 2.55
Draw
31%
fair odds 3.26
West Ham
30%
fair odds 3.32
Market vs model
Market median
4.70 / 4.00 / 1.65
Model edge
+84.2%
Recommended stake
2.50% of bankroll
Model rates the home outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.40 - 1.20
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
Head to head · last 1
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals for
3
Goals against
Form & scorers
Bolton · last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
West Ham · last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Top scorers playing today
- Jarrod BowenWest Ham3goals
Championship top scorers
- 1William LankshearMiddlesbrough5
- 2Cyle LarinSouthampton5
- 3Ethan GalbraithStoke4
- 4Jimmy MorganWest Brom3
- 5Tyreece CampbellCharlton3
- 6Fer LópezWolverhampton3
- 7Mohamed ToureNorwich3
- 8Callum LangPreston NE3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 114.7%
- #20 - 09.6%
- #32 - 18.7%
- #41 - 08.1%
- #51 - 27.5%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →