Mintscore

Premier League · Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 02:00 PM

Nottingham Forest FCvsLeeds United FC

Outcome probabilities

36%
33%
31%
Nottingham winDrawLeeds United win

Nottingham

36%

fair odds 2.74

Draw

33%

fair odds 3.05

Leeds United

31%

fair odds 3.26

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.22 - 1.11

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

Under 2.5 goals

59%

Head to head · last 5

3

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

8

Goals for

6

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    15.5%
  • #20 - 0
    12.1%
  • #31 - 0
    9.5%
  • #40 - 1
    8.4%
  • #52 - 1
    8.1%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →