Mintscore

Ligue 1 · Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 03:00 PM

Olympique de MarseillevsRC Strasbourg Alsace

Outcome probabilities

57%
21%
22%
Marseille winDrawStrasbourg win

Marseille

57%

fair odds 1.75

Draw

21%

fair odds 4.75

Strasbourg

22%

fair odds 4.57

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

2.50 - 1.56

Both teams to score

74%

Over 2.5 goals

77%

Under 2.5 goals

23%

Head to head · last 6

1

Wins

4

Draws

1

Losses

7

Goals for

7

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #12 - 1
    8.4%
  • #21 - 1
    7.9%
  • #33 - 1
    7.0%
  • #42 - 2
    6.6%
  • #53 - 2
    5.5%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →