Mintscore

Ligue 1 · Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 03:00 PM

ES Troyes ACvsParis FC

Outcome probabilities

40%
32%
28%
Troyes winDrawParis FC win

Troyes

40%

fair odds 2.51

Draw

32%

fair odds 3.17

Paris FC

29%

fair odds 3.50

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.35 - 1.12

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    15.1%
  • #20 - 0
    10.8%
  • #31 - 0
    9.1%
  • #42 - 1
    8.6%
  • #52 - 0
    7.7%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →