Mintscore

Ligue 1 · Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 03:00 PM

Le Mans FCvsStade Brestois 29

Outcome probabilities

59%
26%
15%
Le Mans winDrawBrest win

Le Mans

59%

fair odds 1.69

Draw

26%

fair odds 3.88

Brest

15%

fair odds 6.57

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.88 - 0.88

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

Under 2.5 goals

48%

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    12.3%
  • #22 - 0
    11.2%
  • #31 - 0
    10.0%
  • #42 - 1
    9.8%
  • #50 - 0
    8.2%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →