Mintscore

Serie A · Sunday, August 23, 2026 · 04:30 PM

Atalanta BCvsUS Sassuolo Calcio

Outcome probabilities

46%
33%
21%
Atalanta winDrawSassuolo win

Atalanta

46%

fair odds 2.16

Draw

33%

fair odds 3.03

Sassuolo

21%

fair odds 4.85

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.32 - 0.81

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

Under 2.5 goals

64%

Head to head · last 5

2

Wins

0

Draws

3

Losses

6

Goals for

6

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    15.0%
  • #20 - 0
    14.2%
  • #31 - 0
    13.4%
  • #42 - 0
    10.4%
  • #52 - 1
    8.4%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →