Mintscore

Serie A · Sunday, August 23, 2026 · 04:30 PM

FC Internazionale MilanovsAC Monza

Outcome probabilities

74%
17%
9%
Inter winDrawMonza win

Inter

74%

fair odds 1.35

Draw

17%

fair odds 5.77

Monza

8%

fair odds 11.95

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

2.63 - 0.84

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

Under 2.5 goals

33%

Head to head · last 6

3

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

13

Goals for

7

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #12 - 0
    10.7%
  • #23 - 0
    9.4%
  • #32 - 1
    9.0%
  • #41 - 1
    8.1%
  • #53 - 1
    7.9%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →