Serie A · Sunday, August 23, 2026 · 04:30 PM
Genoa CFCvsSSC Napoli
Outcome probabilities
18%
30%
52%
Genoa winDrawNapoli win
Genoa
18%
fair odds 5.46
Draw
30%
fair odds 3.39
Napoli
52%
fair odds 1.92
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
0.86 - 1.58
Both teams to score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
Head to head · last 6
0
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
9
Goals for
12
Goals against
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 114.0%
- #20 - 111.6%
- #30 - 210.9%
- #40 - 010.9%
- #51 - 29.4%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →