Serie A · Sunday, August 23, 2026 · 04:30 PM
Bologna FC 1909vsSS Lazio
Outcome probabilities
23%
44%
33%
Bologna winDrawLazio win
Bologna
23%
fair odds 4.43
Draw
44%
fair odds 2.25
Lazio
33%
fair odds 3.03
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
0.55 - 0.72
Both teams to score
24%
Over 2.5 goals
14%
Under 2.5 goals
86%
Head to head · last 5
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
8
Goals for
7
Goals against
Most likely scorelines
- #10 - 030.1%
- #20 - 118.2%
- #31 - 013.5%
- #41 - 113.1%
- #50 - 27.3%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →