Serie A · Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 01:00 PM
Frosinone CalciovsVenezia FC
Score timeline
Frosinone
3 - 2
Venezia FC
Full time · HT 2–0
First half
2 - 0
Frosinone v Venezia FC
Second half
1 - 2
Frosinone v Venezia FC
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Full time 3–2
Watch on YouTubeOutcome probabilities
Frosinone
37%
fair odds 2.69
Draw
32%
fair odds 3.11
Venezia FC
31%
fair odds 3.26
Market vs model
Market median
1.04 / 10.50 / 161.00
Model edge
+4836.2%
Recommended stake
2.50% of bankroll
Model rates the away outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.28 - 1.14
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
Head to head · last 1
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals for
2
Goals against
Form & scorers
Frosinone · last 3
2W · 0D · 1L
Venezia FC · last 3
0W · 0D · 3L
Top scorers playing today
- Antonio RaimondoFrosinone4goals
Serie A top scorers
- 1Donyell MalenRoma5
- 2Davide FrattesiLazio3
- 3Hassane KamaraUdinese2
- 4Anastasios DouvikasComo 19072
- 5Hakan ÇalhanoğluInter2
- 6Gustavo VarelaMonza2
- 7Alphadjo CisseMilan2
- 8Che AdamsTorino2
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 115.3%
- #20 - 011.3%
- #31 - 09.0%
- #42 - 18.3%
- #50 - 17.8%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →