Eredivisie · Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 02:45 PM
ADO Den HaagvsFortuna Sittard
Score timeline
Den Haag
2 - 3
Sittard
Full time · HT 0–2
First half
0 - 2
Den Haag v Sittard
Second half
2 - 1
Den Haag v Sittard
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Watch Den Haag vs Sittard highlightsFull time 2–3 · opens YouTube in a new tabHighlights are hosted on YouTube by the competition's rights holders; availability varies.
Outcome probabilities
Den Haag
46%
fair odds 2.19
Draw
27%
fair odds 3.75
Sittard
28%
fair odds 3.62
Market vs model
Market median
91.00 / 8.00 / 1.06
Model edge
+4058.1%
Recommended stake
2.50% of bankroll
Model rates the home outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.80 - 1.38
Both teams to score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
Head to head · last 3
0
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
2
Goals for
8
Goals against
Form & scorers
Den Haag · last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
Sittard · last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Eredivisie top scorers
- 1Søren TengstedtGo Ahead4
- 2Ro-Zangelo DaalAZ4
- 3Milan ZonneveldSparta4
- 4Rafik el ArguiouiCambuur4
- 5Gjivai ZechiëlFeyenoord4
- 6David GardenExcelsior3
- 7Luciano ValenteFeyenoord3
- 8Brynjolfur Darri WillumssonGroningen3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 112.2%
- #22 - 19.3%
- #31 - 27.1%
- #42 - 06.8%
- #52 - 26.4%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →