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Eredivisie · Tuesday, September 8, 2026 · 04:45 PM

NECvsSBV Excelsior

Outcome probabilities

46%
27%
27%
NEC winDrawExcelsior win

NEC

46%

fair odds 2.19

Draw

27%

fair odds 3.75

Excelsior

28%

fair odds 3.62

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.80 - 1.38

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Under 2.5 goals

38%

Head to head · last 6

4

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

17

Goals for

5

Goals against

Form & scorers

NEC · last 5

DLWWL

2W · 1D · 2L

Excelsior · last 5

DWWLW

3W · 1D · 1L

Top scorers playing today

  • David GardenExcelsior3goals
  • Tjaronn CheryNEC3goals

Eredivisie top scorers

  • 1Søren TengstedtGo Ahead4
  • 2Ro-Zangelo DaalAZ4
  • 3Milan ZonneveldSparta4
  • 4Rafik el ArguiouiCambuur4
  • 5Gjivai ZechiëlFeyenoord4
  • 6Luciano ValenteFeyenoord3
  • 7Brynjolfur Darri WillumssonGroningen3
  • 8Thom van BergenGroningen3

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    12.2%
  • #22 - 1
    9.3%
  • #31 - 2
    7.1%
  • #42 - 0
    6.8%
  • #52 - 2
    6.4%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →