Primera Division · Saturday, May 23, 2026 · 07:00 PM
Valencia CFvsFC Barcelona
Score timeline
Valencia
3 - 1
Barça
Full time · HT 0–0
First half
0 - 0
Valencia v Barça
Second half
3 - 1
Valencia v Barça
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Full time 3–1
Watch on YouTubeOutcome probabilities
Valencia
16%
fair odds 6.27
Draw
23%
fair odds 4.42
Barça
61%
fair odds 1.63
Market vs model
Market median
85.00 / 29.00 / 1.01
Model edge
+1255.6%
Recommended stake
2.50% of bankroll
Model rates the home outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.09 - 2.23
Both teams to score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Under 2.5 goals
35%
Head to head · last 5
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
5
Goals for
21
Goals against
Form & scorers
Valencia · last 4
0W · 1D · 3L
Barça · last 4
4W · 0D · 0L
Top scorers playing today
- RaphinhaBarça6goals
- Fermín LópezBarça4goals
- Lamine YamalBarça4goals
Primera Division top scorers
- 1Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano5
- 2Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo4
- 3Kylian MbappéReal Madrid4
- 4Ante BudimirOsasuna4
- 5Lucas BoyéAlavés4
- 6Mariano DíazAlavés3
- 7Roberto FernándezEspanyol3
- 8Álex BaenaAtleti3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 110.4%
- #21 - 29.8%
- #30 - 29.0%
- #41 - 37.3%
- #50 - 36.7%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →