Mintscore

Championship · Friday, December 26, 2025 · 12:30 PM

Birmingham City FCvsDerby County FC

Score timeline

Birmingham

1 - 1

Derby County

Full time · HT 01

First half

0 - 1

Birmingham v Derby County

Second half

1 - 0

Birmingham v Derby County

Goals by half

Birmingham
Derby County

Each tick is a goal.

Match highlights

Full time 1–1

Watch on YouTube

Outcome probabilities

46%
28%
26%
Birmingham winDrawDerby County win

Birmingham

46%

fair odds 2.19

Draw

28%

fair odds 3.57

Derby County

26%

fair odds 3.81

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.68 - 1.24

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Under 2.5 goals

44%

Head to head · last 6

2

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

7

Goals for

9

Goals against

Form & scorers

Championship top scorers

  • 1William LankshearMiddlesbrough5
  • 2Cyle LarinSouthampton5
  • 3Ethan GalbraithStoke4
  • 4Jimmy MorganWest Brom3
  • 5Tyreece CampbellCharlton3
  • 6Fer LópezWolverhampton3
  • 7Mohamed ToureNorwich3
  • 8Jarrod BowenWest Ham3

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    13.2%
  • #22 - 1
    9.4%
  • #32 - 0
    7.6%
  • #40 - 0
    7.4%
  • #51 - 0
    7.0%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →