Championship · Tuesday, February 17, 2026 · 07:45 PM
Charlton Athletic FCvsPortsmouth FC
Score timeline
Charlton
1 - 3
Portsmouth
Full time · HT 0–2
First half
0 - 2
Charlton v Portsmouth
Second half
1 - 1
Charlton v Portsmouth
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Watch Charlton vs Portsmouth highlightsFull time 1–3 · opens YouTube in a new tabHighlights are hosted on YouTube by the competition's rights holders; availability varies.
Outcome probabilities
Charlton
41%
fair odds 2.45
Draw
33%
fair odds 3.03
Portsmouth
26%
fair odds 3.82
Market vs model
Market median
2.50 / 3.20 / 2.71
Model edge
+5.7%
Recommended stake
0.65% of bankroll
Model rates the draw outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.27 - 0.98
Both teams to score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Under 2.5 goals
61%
Head to head · last 2
0
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals for
5
Goals against
Form & scorers
Charlton · last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Portsmouth · last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
Top scorers playing today
- Tyreece CampbellCharlton3goals
Championship top scorers
- 1William LankshearMiddlesbrough5
- 2Cyle LarinSouthampton5
- 3Ethan GalbraithStoke4
- 4Jimmy MorganWest Brom3
- 5Fer LópezWolverhampton3
- 6Mohamed ToureNorwich3
- 7Jarrod BowenWest Ham3
- 8Callum LangPreston NE3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 115.5%
- #20 - 012.9%
- #31 - 011.0%
- #42 - 08.5%
- #52 - 18.3%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →