Mintscore

FIFA World Cup · Thursday, June 11, 2026 · 07:00 PM

MexicovsSouth Africa

Score timeline

Mexico

2 - 0

South Africa

Full time · HT 10

First half

1 - 0

Mexico v South Africa

Second half

1 - 0

Mexico v South Africa

Goals by half

Mexico
South Africa

Each tick is a goal.

Outcome probabilities

42%
30%
28%
Mexico winDrawSouth Africa win

Mexico

42%

fair odds 2.38

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.35

South Africa

28%

fair odds 3.55

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.50 - 1.20

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Under 2.5 goals

49%

Head to head · last 1

1

Wins

0

Draws

0

Losses

2

Goals for

0

Goals against

Form & scorers

Mexico · last 1

W

1W · 0D · 0L

South Africa · last 1

L

0W · 0D · 1L

Top scorers playing today

  • Julián QuiñonesMexico1goals
  • Raúl JiménezMexico1goals

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.3%
  • #22 - 1
    9.1%
  • #30 - 0
    8.9%
  • #41 - 0
    7.9%
  • #52 - 0
    7.6%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →