Mintscore

Premier League · Saturday, December 14, 2024 · 03:00 PM

Liverpool FCvsFulham FC

Score timeline

Liverpool

2 - 2

Fulham

Full time · HT 01

First half

0 - 1

Liverpool v Fulham

Second half

2 - 1

Liverpool v Fulham

Goals by half

Liverpool
Fulham

Each tick is a goal.

Match highlights

Watch Liverpool vs Fulham highlightsFull time 2–2 · opens YouTube in a new tab

Highlights are hosted on YouTube by the competition's rights holders; availability varies.

Outcome probabilities

63%
24%
13%
Liverpool winDrawFulham win

Liverpool

63%

fair odds 1.58

Draw

24%

fair odds 4.10

Fulham

12%

fair odds 8.22

Market vs model

Market median

1.44 / 4.82 / 6.00

Model edge

+17.8%

Recommended stake

1.16% of bankroll

Model rates the draw outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.95 - 0.77

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Under 2.5 goals

49%

Head to head · last 5

2

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

11

Goals for

8

Goals against

Form & scorers

Top scorers playing today

  • Alexander IsakLiverpool3goals
  • Joshua KingFulham2goals

Premier League top scorers

  • 1Erling HaalandMan City3
  • 2Bruno FernandesMan United3
  • 3Kai HavertzArsenal2
  • 4Bukayo SakaArsenal2
  • 5Martin ØdegaardArsenal2
  • 6Vitaly JaneltBrentford2
  • 7Marcus TavernierBournemouth2
  • 8Jack HinshelwoodBrighton Hove2

Most likely scorelines

  • #12 - 0
    12.5%
  • #21 - 1
    11.7%
  • #31 - 0
    11.1%
  • #42 - 1
    9.6%
  • #50 - 0
    8.4%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →