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Eredivisie · Sunday, May 5, 2024 · 10:15 AM

PSVvsSparta Rotterdam

Score timeline

PSV

4 - 2

Sparta

Full time · HT 22

First half

2 - 2

PSV v Sparta

Second half

2 - 0

PSV v Sparta

Goals by half

PSV
Sparta

Each tick is a goal.

Match highlights

Watch PSV vs Sparta highlightsFull time 4–2 · opens YouTube in a new tab

Highlights are hosted on YouTube by the competition's rights holders; availability varies.

Outcome probabilities

83%
10%
PSV winDrawSparta win

PSV

83%

fair odds 1.21

Draw

10%

fair odds 9.60

Sparta

7%

fair odds 14.97

Market vs model

Market median

1.18 / 6.75 / 10.00

Model edge

-2.2%

Recommended stake

no stake

Market is roughly aligned with the model. No edge worth chasing here.

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

3.90 - 1.24

Both teams to score

70%

Over 2.5 goals

89%

Under 2.5 goals

11%

Head to head · last 6

6

Wins

0

Draws

0

Losses

21

Goals for

5

Goals against

Form & scorers

Top scorers playing today

  • Milan ZonneveldSparta4goals
  • Ricardo PepiPSV3goals

Eredivisie top scorers

  • 1Søren TengstedtGo Ahead4
  • 2Ro-Zangelo DaalAZ4
  • 3Rafik el ArguiouiCambuur4
  • 4Gjivai ZechiëlFeyenoord4
  • 5David GardenExcelsior3
  • 6Luciano ValenteFeyenoord3
  • 7Brynjolfur Darri WillumssonGroningen3
  • 8Thom van BergenGroningen3

Most likely scorelines

  • #13 - 1
    7.2%
  • #24 - 1
    7.0%
  • #33 - 0
    5.8%
  • #44 - 0
    5.6%
  • #52 - 1
    5.5%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →