Eredivisie · Sunday, April 14, 2024 · 12:30 PM
FC UtrechtvsGo Ahead Eagles
Score timeline
Utrecht
2 - 1
Go Ahead
Full time · HT 1–1
First half
1 - 1
Utrecht v Go Ahead
Second half
1 - 0
Utrecht v Go Ahead
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Full time 2–1
Watch on YouTubeOutcome probabilities
Utrecht
61%
fair odds 1.63
Draw
27%
fair odds 3.73
Go Ahead
12%
fair odds 8.49
Market vs model
Market median
1.85 / 4.13 / 3.50
Model edge
+13.6%
Recommended stake
2.50% of bankroll
Model rates the home outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.73 - 0.65
Both teams to score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
Head to head · last 6
3
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
13
Goals for
8
Goals against
Form & scorers
Utrecht · last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
Go Ahead · last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Top scorers playing today
- Søren TengstedtGo Ahead4goals
- Artem StepanovUtrecht3goals
Eredivisie top scorers
- 1Ro-Zangelo DaalAZ4
- 2Milan ZonneveldSparta4
- 3Rafik el ArguiouiCambuur4
- 4Gjivai ZechiëlFeyenoord4
- 5David GardenExcelsior3
- 6Luciano ValenteFeyenoord3
- 7Brynjolfur Darri WillumssonGroningen3
- 8Thom van BergenGroningen3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 014.1%
- #22 - 013.8%
- #31 - 112.3%
- #40 - 011.1%
- #52 - 19.0%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →