Championship · Saturday, April 6, 2024 · 02:00 PM
Watford FCvsPreston North End FC
Score timeline
Watford
0 - 0
Preston NE
Full time · HT 0–0
First half
0 - 0
Watford v Preston NE
Second half
0 - 0
Watford v Preston NE
Match highlights
Full time 0–0
Watch on YouTubeOutcome probabilities
Watford
38%
fair odds 2.65
Draw
32%
fair odds 3.13
Preston NE
30%
fair odds 3.29
Market vs model
Market median
2.03 / 3.40 / 3.50
Model edge
+8.6%
Recommended stake
0.90% of bankroll
Model rates the draw outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.30 - 1.14
Both teams to score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
Head to head · last 6
1
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
9
Goals for
9
Goals against
Form & scorers
Watford · last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Preston NE · last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
Top scorers playing today
- Callum LangPreston NE3goals
Championship top scorers
- 1William LankshearMiddlesbrough5
- 2Cyle LarinSouthampton5
- 3Ethan GalbraithStoke4
- 4Jimmy MorganWest Brom3
- 5Tyreece CampbellCharlton3
- 6Fer LópezWolverhampton3
- 7Mohamed ToureNorwich3
- 8Jarrod BowenWest Ham3
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 115.2%
- #20 - 011.0%
- #31 - 09.0%
- #42 - 18.4%
- #50 - 17.6%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →