Championship · Wednesday, March 6, 2024 · 07:45 PM

Middlesbrough FCvsNorwich City FC

Score timeline

Middlesbrough

3 - 1

Norwich

Full time · HT 2–1

First half

2 - 1

Middlesbrough v Norwich

Second half

1 - 0

Middlesbrough v Norwich

Goals by half

Middlesbrough

Norwich

Each tick is a goal.

Match highlights

Watch Middlesbrough vs Norwich highlightsFull time 3–1 · opens YouTube in a new tab

Highlights are hosted on YouTube by the competition's rights holders; availability varies.

Outcome probabilities

40%

33%

27%

Middlesbrough winDrawNorwich win

Middlesbrough

40%

fair odds 2.49

Draw

33%

fair odds 3.05

Norwich

27%

fair odds 3.70

Market vs model

Market median

1.75 / 3.80 / 4.00

Model edge

+24.4%

Recommended stake

2.18% of bankroll

Model rates the draw outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.29 - 1.02

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

Under 2.5 goals

60%

Head to head · last 6

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals for

Goals against

Form & scorers

Middlesbrough · last 5

WDWLW

3W · 1D · 1L

Norwich · last 5

WLWLL

2W · 0D · 3L

Top scorers playing today

William LankshearMiddlesbrough5goals
Mohamed ToureNorwich3goals

Championship top scorers

1Cyle LarinSouthampton5
2Ethan GalbraithStoke4
3Jimmy MorganWest Brom3
4Tyreece CampbellCharlton3
5Fer LópezWolverhampton3
6Jarrod BowenWest Ham3
7Callum LangPreston NE3
8Marshall MunetsiWolverhampton2

Most likely scorelines

#11 - 1
15.4%
#20 - 0
12.4%
#31 - 0
10.5%
#42 - 1
8.4%
#52 - 0
8.3%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →