Championship · Saturday, February 24, 2024 · 03:00 PM
Cardiff City FCvsStoke City FC
Score timeline
Cardiff
2 - 1
Stoke
Full time · HT 2–1
First half
2 - 1
Cardiff v Stoke
Second half
0 - 0
Cardiff v Stoke
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Watch Cardiff vs Stoke highlightsFull time 2–1 · opens YouTube in a new tabHighlights are hosted on YouTube by the competition's rights holders; availability varies.
Outcome probabilities
Cardiff
45%
fair odds 2.21
Draw
35%
fair odds 2.89
Stoke
20%
fair odds 4.95
Market vs model
Market median
2.13 / 3.60 / 3.10
Model edge
+24.5%
Recommended stake
2.36% of bankroll
Model rates the draw outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.22 - 0.74
Both teams to score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
31%
Under 2.5 goals
69%
Head to head · last 5
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
5
Goals for
5
Goals against
Form & scorers
Cardiff · last 5
0W · 3D · 2L
Top scorers playing today
- Ethan GalbraithStoke4goals
Championship top scorers
- 1William LankshearMiddlesbrough5
- 2Cyle LarinSouthampton5
- 3Jimmy MorganWest Brom3
- 4Tyreece CampbellCharlton3
- 5Fer LópezWolverhampton3
- 6Mohamed ToureNorwich3
- 7Jarrod BowenWest Ham3
- 8Callum LangPreston NE3
Most likely scorelines
- #10 - 016.4%
- #21 - 115.0%
- #31 - 014.9%
- #42 - 010.5%
- #50 - 18.2%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →