Championship · Saturday, September 30, 2023 · 02:00 PM
Norwich City FCvsBirmingham City FC
Score timeline
Norwich
2 - 0
Birmingham
Full time · HT 0–0
First half
0 - 0
Norwich v Birmingham
Second half
2 - 0
Norwich v Birmingham
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Full time 2–0
Watch on YouTubeOutcome probabilities
Norwich
44%
fair odds 2.25
Draw
34%
fair odds 2.93
Birmingham
21%
fair odds 4.68
Market vs model
Market median
1.95 / 3.50 / 3.50
Model edge
+19.5%
Recommended stake
1.95% of bankroll
Model rates the draw outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.24 - 0.79
Both teams to score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Under 2.5 goals
67%
Head to head · last 6
3
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
9
Goals for
9
Goals against
Form & scorers
Norwich · last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
Birmingham · last 5
1W · 4D · 0L
Top scorers playing today
- Mohamed ToureNorwich3goals
Championship top scorers
- 1William LankshearMiddlesbrough5
- 2Cyle LarinSouthampton5
- 3Ethan GalbraithStoke4
- 4Jimmy MorganWest Brom3
- 5Tyreece CampbellCharlton3
- 6Fer LópezWolverhampton3
- 7Jarrod BowenWest Ham3
- 8Callum LangPreston NE3
Most likely scorelines
- #10 - 015.4%
- #21 - 115.2%
- #31 - 014.0%
- #42 - 010.1%
- #50 - 18.1%
Place this bet at
Affiliate links, Mintscore earns commission if you sign up. Doesn't affect odds you receive.
Got a code on another bookmaker?
Convert booking codes between SportyBet, Bet9ja, 1xBet, BetKing & MSport instantly.
Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →