Premier League · Saturday, December 23, 2023 · 03:00 PM
Tottenham Hotspur FCvsEverton FC
Score timeline
Tottenham
2 - 1
Everton
Full time · HT 2–0
First half
2 - 0
Tottenham v Everton
Second half
0 - 1
Tottenham v Everton
Goals by half
Each tick is a goal.
Match highlights
Full time 2–1
Watch on YouTubeOutcome probabilities
Tottenham
19%
fair odds 5.19
Draw
29%
fair odds 3.47
Everton
52%
fair odds 1.93
Market vs model
Market median
2.00 / 3.45 / 3.65
Model edge
+89.4%
Recommended stake
2.50% of bankroll
Model rates the away outcome higher than the market. Stake is at quarter-Kelly, conservative because models are imperfect and full Kelly is brutal on losing streaks.
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
0.93 - 1.64
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
Head to head · last 6
4
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
14
Goals for
6
Goals against
Form & scorers
Tottenham · last 3
0W · 1D · 2L
Everton · last 3
1W · 2D · 0L
Premier League top scorers
- 1Erling HaalandMan City3
- 2Alexander IsakLiverpool3
- 3Bruno FernandesMan United3
- 4Kai HavertzArsenal2
- 5Bukayo SakaArsenal2
- 6Martin ØdegaardArsenal2
- 7Vitaly JaneltBrentford2
- 8Marcus TavernierBournemouth2
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 113.8%
- #20 - 110.5%
- #30 - 210.3%
- #40 - 09.8%
- #51 - 29.6%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →