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Bundesliga · Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 01:30 PM

1. FC Union BerlinvsEintracht Frankfurt

Outcome probabilities

37%
24%
39%
Union Berlin winDrawFrankfurt win

Union Berlin

37%

fair odds 2.70

Draw

24%

fair odds 4.21

Frankfurt

39%

fair odds 2.56

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.92 - 1.98

Both teams to score

75%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

Under 2.5 goals

25%

Head to head · last 6

2

Wins

3

Draws

1

Losses

8

Goals for

9

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    9.1%
  • #21 - 2
    7.6%
  • #32 - 1
    7.4%
  • #42 - 2
    7.3%
  • #51 - 3
    5.0%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →