Primera Division · Sunday, August 16, 2026 · 03:00 PM
Sevilla FCvsRayo Vallecano de Madrid
Outcome probabilities
41%
33%
26%
Sevilla FC winDrawRayo Vallecano win
Sevilla FC
41%
fair odds 2.46
Draw
33%
fair odds 3.01
Rayo Vallecano
26%
fair odds 3.82
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.26 - 0.97
Both teams to score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Under 2.5 goals
61%
Head to head · last 6
3
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
8
Goals for
5
Goals against
- DMar 8, 2026Sevilla FC 1 - 1 Rayo VallecanoPrimera Division
- WSep 28, 2025Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 Sevilla FCPrimera Division
- DMar 1, 2025Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Sevilla FCPrimera Division
- WNov 24, 2024Sevilla FC 1 - 0 Rayo VallecanoPrimera Division
- WFeb 5, 2024Rayo Vallecano 1 - 2 Sevilla FCPrimera Division
- DOct 7, 2023Sevilla FC 2 - 2 Rayo VallecanoPrimera Division
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 115.5%
- #20 - 013.1%
- #31 - 011.1%
- #42 - 08.5%
- #52 - 18.3%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →