Mintscore

Primera Division · Sunday, August 16, 2026 · 03:00 PM

Real Madrid CFvsReal Sociedad de Fútbol

Outcome probabilities

71%
20%
9%
Real Madrid winDrawReal Sociedad win

Real Madrid

71%

fair odds 1.42

Draw

20%

fair odds 5.03

Real Sociedad

10%

fair odds 10.44

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

2.36 - 0.81

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

Under 2.5 goals

39%

Head to head · last 4

4

Wins

0

Draws

0

Losses

10

Goals for

2

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #12 - 0
    11.8%
  • #21 - 1
    9.5%
  • #32 - 1
    9.5%
  • #43 - 0
    9.2%
  • #51 - 0
    8.5%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →