Mintscore

Primera Division · Sunday, August 16, 2026 · 03:00 PM

Real Racing Club de SantandervsVillarreal CF

Outcome probabilities

39%
30%
31%
Santander winDrawVillarreal win

Santander

39%

fair odds 2.60

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.31

Villarreal

31%

fair odds 3.20

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.42 - 1.26

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.5%
  • #20 - 0
    9.0%
  • #32 - 1
    8.7%
  • #41 - 2
    7.7%
  • #51 - 0
    7.5%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →